Analyses

  • Illustration of people discussing a map, with text "AI cannot protect what it does not understand" and a conflict risk map of Lake Chad Basin.
    Ahmad Salkida

    AI Cannot Protect What It Does Not Understand

    Artificial intelligence is steadily changing how the world responds to crises. Governments use it to analyse satellite imagery after natural disasters, humanitarian agencies are testing AI to anticipate displacement before it overwhelms fragile communities, and researchers are applying machine learning to uncover patterns buried inside millions of records that no human could process alone. These …

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  • Soldiers escort people towards a truck labeled "Safety Corridor" in a grassy, rural area. The scene is illustrated with muted colors.
    Aliyu Dahiru

    Nigeria is Finally Prosecuting Terrorists at Record Levels. Here’s What That Means

    For nearly two decades, Nigeria fought Boko Haram and its offshoots, the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) and Ansaru, largely with bombs, bullets, and casualties announced in press briefings. However, the slow process of delivering justice through prosecution was the part of the counterterrorism machine that never quite got built properly. Thousands of suspects, …

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  • Illustration of police officers detaining a man on a bustling street, with bystanders and market stalls in the background.
    Isah Ismaila

    Calls for Justice Heighten Over Police Killing in South South Nigeria

    “Officer, abeg! I go tell you everything. Na my friend na him deceive me. E de Sapele, I go carry you go the place. I no know anything concern. Officer!” These were the last words of 28-year-old Oghenemine Ogidi before he was shot at close range by Usman Nuhu, an Assistant Superintendent of Police (ASP), …

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  • A group of people in the outdoors, some wearing camouflage and face coverings, others in traditional attire. Trees are in the background.
    Ahmad Salkida

    The War Over Who Is Muslim

    For years, the Boko Haram and the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) terror groups have told Muslims in Nigeria and the Lake Chad Basin that the world outside their camps is not merely corrupt, but that living in it constitutes unbelief. They reinforce this stance through the misinterpretation of scripture, selective history, and the …

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  • A group of civilians interacts with armed individuals in a field under a cloudy sky.
    Mohammed Babangida Mafara

    As Rain Returns to Zamfara, So Do Terror Attacks on Local Farmers

    When dozens of farmers bade farewell to their family members on the morning of Friday, June 12, and headed out in different directions to work on their farms, 17 of them were not lucky enough to return home alive. The farmers were killed after terrorists invaded their fields in the Maradun Local Government Area (LGA) …

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  • Militants wearing masks, holding weapons and a flag, with one person crouching in front. Background shows greenery.
    Aliyu Dahiru

    ISWAP Used Theology to Absorb the Shock of Its Deadliest Week

    For the Islamic State (IS) and its West Africa Province (ISWAP), the third week of May 2026 began with a compound disaster and ended with a theology lesson. The group faced one of its most shocking moments, at least in West Africa or, more specifically, Nigeria. With its headquarters in Nigeria, ISWAP has been the …

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  • A person wearing sunglasses and a head covering sits outdoors with arms crossed, against a tree and a wall in the background.
    Ahmad Salkida

    The Men Lining Up to Replace Al-Minuki

    The death of Abakar Minuki, one of the most influential leaders of the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP), in a joint United States and Nigerian military operation, marks one of the most consequential blows to the insurgent group in recent years. Yet, analysts and insiders familiar with the terror group warn that history offers …

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  • Colorful collage of officials and global landmarks, featuring abstract art elements and text "Nigeria" with a plane silhouette.
    Ahmad Salkida

    How Nigeria Escaped Trump’s Crosshairs

    There are moments when nations move dangerously close to collapse before the public fully realises it. It begins with carefully framed messages that conceal or even deny a storm, then the country is described as dangerous, lawless, and extremist-tolerant. By the time formal consequences arrive, the political judgment has often already been made. By late …

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  • Silhouette of a figure holding a rifle amidst abstract background with jagged shapes and muted colors.
    Aliyu Dahiru

    Abu Bilal Al-Minuki: The Terrorist Who Died Twice

    By the time the announcement that Abu Bilal Al-Minuki was killed reached the outside world, the strike itself was already hours old. In the early hours of Saturday, May 16, somewhere in Metele, in Borno State, northeastern Nigeria, a compound had been hit. First, US President Donald Trump posted a statement on Truth Social. Another …

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  • Illustration depicting conflict themes in Nigeria, with military, militants, and activists against a backdrop of the Nigerian flag map.
    Ahmad Salkida

    Inside the Nigerian Military’s Quiet Gains Against a Fragmented War

    In Nigeria’s North East, the Boko Haram insurgent group once carved out territory and declared a caliphate. In the North West, terrorist groups operate as fluid, profit-driven networks, embedding themselves in local economies. In the Middle Belt, communal violence reflects deeper contests over land, identity, and survival. In the South East, separatist agitation by the …

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  • Three people gather water from a well beside a river, surrounded by trees and muddy ground.
    Ibrahim Adeyemi

    Help Is Coming: Following Up on Climate-Induced Crises in the Sahel

    This story was supported by the Pulitzer Centre. For a long time, people in Bultu-Briya have lived in anguish; their environment seems to be at war with them, and they spend most of their lives fighting back. Climate crises like desert encroachment is eating deep into the community, killing fertile lands, and uprooting trees and …

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Analyses | HumAngle